Housing Situation Report in Canada: Overview
Author: Georgia Investor Member // Category: Georgia InvestorsA report focusing on the Canadian housing market conditions of 2008 and the 1st half of 2009 was recently published by The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. It deals mainly with the housing starts and with the affordability to rent & buy.
According to the report the Canadian housing market is slowly getting better from the shock it suffered in the past year. While new home market actual starts decreased from January to June 2009 by over 43 per-cent compared to the same period in 2008, the MLS sales increased by over 17 per-cent in confrontation to the July 2008 numbers.
The overall trend on the housing market is growth now, and this goes also for the new housing price index. From January to May 2009, the average price change has grown from -0.6% to -0.1%. In accordance with the recovering resale market, the new housing price change in Toronto was slightly over zero for most of the time.
Economic conditions: Unemployment
Concerning the general trends in economy, we can see some optimistic developments. Firstly, the unemployment is still rising, but it has slowed down and appears to be at last under control. In July, only 13,000 more people lost their jobs, which is not that many, as in the first three months of 2009, it was 273,000. Second, the Bank of Canada has found out that there is finally some positive outcomes of the various stimulus packages introduced in many countries.
Affordability to rent
When we want to calculate the affordability to rent, we need to know how many hours in a month people need to work in order to earn the average cost of a 2-bedroom flat rent or the average mortgage payment down to 30% of gross monthly income. (The Canadian hourly income average grew by over 5% and reached $23.69 in 2008 (Ontario: $24.65, Toronto: $24.93)).
From 114 to 113 hours per month - that is how the average number of hours needed to bring the average rent for a 2-bedroom flat down to 30% has declined. While St John’s, Brantford and Guelph faced the biggest decrease, Toronto reported decrease from 149 to 146, securing it’s position of the 2nd most expensive city in this regards right after Vancouver.
Affordability of home owner-ship
While the general decline in the hours required to rent was rather paltry, the general decline in the hours required to bring the average mortgage payments down to 30 per-cent of gross income is more significant – from 255 hours in 2007 to 240 hours in 2008. In Toronto, the decline of hours required to own was quite noticeable - from 299 to 286. However, the costs of owned apartments in Toronto are still fourth highest, after Vancouver, Victoria and Abbotsford.
End notes
As an overall effect of housing market cooling from the second half of the year 2008, also new housing made a step towards better affordability, which I really welcome, being a real estate agent in Toronto. In the first six months of 2009, the prices were slightly decreasing and the affordability of renting and also home ownership was becoming better. With ongoing low interest rate, this period of time remains ideal time to acquire a property, before the market will take second breath.